Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 7.509697 8.602301 9.814919 11.263376 12.950201 14.857040 17.182147
2025-02-23 5.959210 7.340800 9.000977 11.153193 13.884440 17.254605 21.758477
2025-03-02 5.023628 6.520395 8.425469 11.048027 14.595555 19.271475 25.974014
2025-03-09 4.342589 5.876919 7.922149 10.878263 15.091791 20.957410 29.874020
2025-03-16 3.797815 5.323803 7.438999 10.626051 15.377920 22.314177 33.415744
2025-03-23 3.567332 5.168263 7.470369 11.078362 16.693922 25.273326 39.708990
2025-03-30 3.293176 4.911200 7.314453 11.214937 17.523282 27.565029 45.246532
2025-04-06 3.014021 4.612633 7.056951 11.151093 18.007295 29.338142 50.141796
2025-04-13 2.761590 4.327363 6.785976 11.025414 18.357811 30.906879 54.870840
2025-04-20 2.636471 4.230265 6.800623 11.364690 19.521617 33.989655 62.758850
2025-04-27 2.506926 4.111853 6.765381 11.608378 20.535143 36.913684 70.763630
2025-05-04 2.423527 4.061678 6.837187 12.042159 21.934701 40.709087 81.046560
2025-05-11 2.222222 3.793891 6.513412 11.734514 21.925576 41.846157 86.133211
2025-05-18 2.072752 3.604452 6.311010 11.630755 22.296216 43.775630 93.215901
2025-05-25 1.937755 3.429117 6.117543 11.521649 22.638420 45.680662 100.536977
2025-06-01 1.806841 3.250172 5.901193 11.343966 22.815779 47.253223 107.336352
2025-06-08 1.677493 3.063694 5.654542 11.079885 22.778691 48.350208 113.171146
2025-06-15 1.647456 3.063119 5.763976 11.553517 24.380752 53.295458 129.331584
2025-06-22 1.581438 2.987232 5.718562 11.696547 25.266136 56.711800 142.193168
2025-06-29 1.498181 2.870778 5.582053 11.629685 25.664861 59.025930 152.536554
2025-07-06 1.415003 2.748250 5.423233 11.498068 25.896621 60.961753 162.185141
2025-07-13 1.384461 2.730584 5.479934 11.853388 27.330017 66.090807 181.872543
2025-07-20 1.346092 2.693640 5.492568 12.108629 28.548797 70.839383 201.385081